Marquette Poll Affirms Turnout Key to Governor's Race - WBAY

Marquette Poll Affirms Turnout Key to Governor's Race


Both Wisconsin Republican Governor Scott Walker and Democratic challenger Mary Burke's campaigns are analyzing the latest Marquette Law School poll.

It showed the two candidates tied 46-46% among registered voters.

Among what will become critical "likely voters," Walker had a three point lead, yet still within the poll's 3.5% margin of error.

"People will target this state," Dave Wegge said, a pollster and executive director of the St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute.

Historically in mid-term elections, like this fall, turnout is lower.

"We also know when turnout drops, what we tend to see more Republicans show up to vote than Democrats," Wegge said. "So a low turnout election tends to benefit Republicans a bit more."

Both campaigns will target Northeast Wisconsin.

Exit polling showed Governor Walker won the region in his 2012 recall, but historically the region's not always consistent.

"As we've seen in past races, this part of the state becomes a very competitive area," Wegge said. "And a lot of resources are spent here."

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